This Sunday, the Hollywood Foreign Press will hand out this year’s Golden Globe awards. There’s a ton of talent that has been nominated this year and there’s sure to be a surprise or two before the night is over. Here are my predictions for who will win in the film and television categories.
Best Drama Film:
Odds on favorite here is Lincoln. Django and Zero Dark Thirty have some buzz, but they also have controversy attached with the content within their films. Lincoln is the safe pick and the HFPA loves Spielberg.
Best Comedy/Musical Film:
This is Les Miserables‘ to lose. The only film that could give this movie a bit of a surprise is Silver Linings Playbook, but it looks like the Weinsteins are waiting for the Oscars to make their big move with that film. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel is also a dangerous, dark horse choice, especially since it skews to older audiences.
Best Actor – Drama:
Daniel Day-Lewis. No disrespect to the other four nominees here, but DDL is in a class and category unto himself.
Best Actress – Drama:
Jessica Chastain is the front runner, but it remains to be seen how much the Zero Dark Thirty controversy plays into the voting process. My guess is voters will look past the torture riff-raff and judge Chastain on her actual performance, which is among the best of the year. Naomi Watts is a scary dark horse here, but I don’t see her topping Chastain.
Best Actor – Comedy/Musical:
This is a two-actor race between Hugh Jackman and Bradley Cooper. One could argue that Cooper belongs in the dramatic actor category, given the dramatic undertones of Silver Linings Playbook. Given the worldwide success of Les Miserables, I’m giving the edge to Jackman. Hope he sings during his acceptance speech.
Best Actress – Comedy/Musical:
Jennifer Lawrence is the front-runner here, but there’s a couple of potential dark horses here. Maggie Smith could ride the popularity of Downtown Abbey to a win here while Judi Dench represents the sentimental favorite vote. Still Lawrence looks like she has a clear lead in this category. I’m rolling the dice and dancing with Tiffany.
Best Supporting Actor:
On the surface, Tommy Lee Jones and Philip Seymour Hoffman look to have the edge. But The Master has essentially faded from the awards race into the “Also Ran” category. My vote goes to Tommy Lee, though Leonardo DiCaprio or Christoph Waltz could easily come away with the upset if they don’t cancel each other out. In my mind, Waltz is a lead actor, but thanks to Mr. Lincoln, fat chance in that category.
Best Supporting Actress:
Anne Hathaway has this award locked up. The only actress who could potentially upset her is Sally Field in Lincoln, but despite the gold rush Spielberg’s baby will be on, this is one award they won’t get.
Steven Spielberg is the odds on favorite here. The biggest challenge, following the surprising number of nominations on Oscar morning, could come from Ang Lee. Challenges could also come from Kathryn Bigelow, Ben Affleck and Tarantino, in that order. Again, the issue facing Bigelow, Affleck and Tarantino’s movies are controversy and, in Affleck’s case, inaccuracy. Spielberg spent 12 years researching and piecing his film together. Plus, again, the HFPA loves Stevie.
Best Animated Feature:
Brave is the favorite with Frankenweenie as the spoiler. Should Brave win? I’ll leave that up to you to judge, but it’d be a nice bump for DreamWorks if Rise of the Guardians was able to upset the Disney favorites. That been said, I’m going with Brave.
This is perhaps the most competitive category. Tony Kushner is the favorite pick, especially if Lincoln gets on a roll, but the HFPA could give the award to Mark Boal for Zero Dark Thirty, Tarantino for Django or David O’Russell for Silver Linings. Chris Terrio’s Argo script is also a legit contender. Of all the categories, this one has the highest probability to misfire, but twist my arm and threaten to make me watch an entire week of reality TV… Kushner, Lincoln.
Best Original Score:
Of all the names on the list of nominees, which one stands out the most. Right, John Williams. There’s your winner.
Best Original Song:
Two song race here – Adele’s Skyfall theme vs. Suddenly from Les Miserables. So tough to pick, but Les Miz has the buzz right now while Skyfall feels like it came out more than two months ago. Life may have killed the dream, but it should win this award. (I’ll secretly be hoping I’m wrong here and Bond gets an award).
Best Foreign Language Film:
As much as I would LOVE for A Royal Affair to pull off the upset here, it ain’t gonna happen. Amour is steam rolling through the foreign film category and this shouldn’t be any different.
From here, we jump into the television categories. Given that I watch next to no American TV, it seems pointless for me to justify any of these picks. I’m just going to do what HFPA voters will most likely do. Look for the popular show/actor and go with them.
Best TV Series – Drama:
Best TV Series – Comedy:
Modern Family would be nice, but let’s face it, that show has been on-and-off in terms of comedy. It feels kinda of stale and the whole baby subplot feels very jump-the-shark-ish. So I’m going with Girls.
Best Actor – Drama:
Damian Lewis. Cuz I see Homeland after his name.
Best Actress – Drama:
Claire Danes. Cuz I see Homeland after her name.
Best Actor – Comedy:
Louis C.K. will probably win this stupid award and grumble, bitch, moan, whine.
Best Actress – Comedy:
Julia Louis-Dreyfus. Although, there is the potential for a sentimental vote toward Tina Fey, who will be hosting. Hmm… yea, I’m sticking with Julia.
Best Mini-Series/Made for TV Movie:
Game Change. It’s HBO and it’s got Julianne Moore doing a dead-on impression of Sarah Palin. Speaking of which…
Best Actress – Mini-Series/Made for TV Movie:
Julianne Moore. See above.
Best Actor – Mini-Series/Made for TV Movie:
Benedict Cumberbatch. Although Woody Harrelson could steal it for Game Change as well as Kevin Costner for Hatfields & McCoys.
Best Supporting Actor – Series/Mini-Series/Made for TV Movie:
Ed Harris. Cuz Game Change is after his name. Although I see Mandy Patinkin’s name is followed by Homeland. That been said, I’m sticking with Harris.
Best Supporting Actress – Series/Mini-Series/Made for TV Movie:
Maggie Smith. A lot of great talent here, but Downtown Abbey is so chic right now. Professor MacGonagall for the win.
So there you have my picks. What are yours? The Golden Globes air this Sunday at 5 p.m. PST. Full coverage can be found over in the Fandango Awards Watch Guide.
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